News

Odds of a Triple Crown winner slim

Odds of a Triple Crown winner slim

CALIFORNIA CHROME:Kentucky Derby and Preakness winner California Chrome pauses as he is hot walked by exercise rider Willie Delgado after jogging at Belmont Park, Monday, June 2, in Elmont, N.Y. California Chrome will attempt to become the first Triple Crown winner since Affirmed in 1978 when he races in the 146th running of the Belmont Stakes on Saturday. Photo: Associated Press/Julie Jacobson

AURORA, Colo. (AP) — Here’s a message to horse lovers and dreamers out there: This will not happen to you. Well, almost certainly not.

For all the buzz California Chrome’s feel-good run at the Triple Crown is generating for horse racing, his too-good-to-be-true story has virtually no chance of repeating itself, according to the numbers.

Byron Rogers, whose business is scientifically analyzing genetic makeup of racehorses, puts the odds at 50,000-to-1 against a horse with the strength and stamina of a California Chrome ever showing up again among the 21,000 or so thoroughbred foals born each year.

It’s the sort of horse that shows up maybe once every three years, but even then doesn’t always find his way into the spotlight because success requires a magic mix of the right owner, trainer and opportunity.

Recent Headlines

in National

Making headlines this week

AP792818563420

A look at the big stories that made news this week and the headlines you may have missed.

in Sports

This week’s top sports shots

AP351363760471

A look at some of this week's best moments in sports.

in Sports

This weekend’s sports schedule

jameis

A complete look at this weekend's sports schedule.

in National

Americans are really angry with Washington

america

Americans are angry with the handling of issues ranging from healthcare reform to the rise of Islamic State militants.

in Music, Sports

Vince Gill named best golfer in music

vincegill

Gill beat out other country stars Kip Moore and Jake Owen to be named the best on the golf course.